02

Approach

Creemore Capital Management

Conviction is earned.
Risk is defined.

Creemore is being designed to invest in public equities and liquid futures through a concentrated, flexible and risk-conscious process.

The intended mandate does not begin with a requirement to be invested, to remain net long or to express a view on every market.

It begins with the opportunity set.

Capital would be deployed when the relationship between potential reward, defined risk and available evidence is compelling.

The intended process

From discrepancy
to decision.

01

Find the discrepancy

Identify situations in which market expectations, business reality and price behavior appear misaligned.

The objective is not merely to find a good company or an interesting macro story. The objective is to identify a tradable gap between what the market expects and what the evidence suggests may occur.

02

Build the case

Study the business, industry structure, incentives, capital allocation, valuation, catalysts and competing interpretations.

The process seeks to understand both the thesis and the strongest case against it.

03

Wait for confirmation

Fundamentals provide context. Price determines whether the market is beginning to validate the thesis.

The approach does not assume that a security must rise because it appears undervalued or fall because it appears overvalued. The market must confirm that the opportunity is becoming actionable.

04

Define failure

Before capital would be committed, the process defines what evidence, price behavior or change in conditions would invalidate the position.

Risk is not an afterthought and is not managed through hope.

05

Size deliberately

Position size reflects conviction, liquidity, volatility, correlation and the magnitude of defined risk.

The largest position should represent the strongest combination of evidence and favorable asymmetry, not simply the most exciting story.

06

Manage the position

The thesis is reassessed continuously.

Positions may be increased when evidence strengthens, reduced into favorable price action or exited when the market invalidates the view.

07

Let exceptional outcomes compound

Most opportunities should be managed with discipline. Exceptional opportunities may deserve patience.

The process seeks to distinguish ordinary trades from rare positions capable of producing disproportionate long-term value.

Flexible by mandate

Tools must serve the process.

01

Concentrated long and short public equities

02

Select use of liquid futures

03

Fundamental research

04

Technical and market-structure confirmation

05

Explicit downside controls

06

Active position sizing

07

High liquidity

08

Cash as a deliberate allocation

09

No obligation to remain fully invested

10

No attachment to permanent market narratives

11

No use of complexity for its own sake